Toplines

Biweekly emerging data trends on demonstrations, actors of concern, and other ongoing trends related to early warning.

BDI's CivicPulse UTH survey reveals that experiences and concerns of local officials around hostility remain widespread and on par with last quarter. Women, younger, and minority officials continue to report significantly more identity-based hostility and negative impacts. Worries about hostility largely continue to cut across party lines. Overall, officials support a wide range of actions to reduce their concerns about hostility and build a sense of security.

Threat and harassment incidents against local officials rose from August to September. The latest Threats and Harassment Dataset (THD) update captured 70 new events, including almost 60 for September, bringing the total number of events recorded so far in 2025 to over 400. This spike in incidents was driven primarily by an increase in threats against officials in the aftermath of the September 10 shooting of Charlie Kirk.

Biweekly emerging monitoring trends on key developments and drivers of political violence.

Biweekly emerging data trends on demonstrations, actors of concern, and other ongoing trends related to early warning.

Biweekly emerging monitoring trends on key developments and drivers of political violence.

Threats and harassment against local officials decreased from September to October. The latest Threats and Harassment Dataset (THD) update adds nearly 80 new events, including 25 for October, bringing the total number of events captured so far in 2025 to over 470. Following the spike in threat and harassment incidents targeting officials in the aftermath of the September shooting of Charlie Kirk, community-specific and personal legal issues reemerged as the primary drivers of incidents in October.

BDI's CivicPulse UTH survey reveals that experiences of local officials around hostility remain widespread and on par with last quarter. Yet, the proportion of local elected officials reporting negative impacts of hostility on their willingness to engage in political and civic behaviors largely increased in Q3 2025. Subgroup analysis revealed that women and Democrats reported (1) higher levels of experienced hostility, (2) increased concern about hostility, and (3) greater negative impacts of hostility compared to their counterparts.

Biweekly emerging data trends on demonstrations, actors of concern, and other ongoing trends related to early warning.

Biweekly emerging monitoring trends on key developments and drivers of political violence.